Determinants of The First Birth Interval Among  Women in India

Dewaram A. Nagdeve; Dewaram A. Nagdeve; Manas Ranjan Pradhan

doi:10.18502/jfrh.v17i4.14595

Dewaram A. Nagdeve Department of Fertility & Social Demography, International Institute for Population Sciences, Mumbai, India
Dewaram A. Nagdeve Department of Fertility & Social Demography, International Institute for Population Sciences, Mumbai, India
Manas Ranjan Pradhan Department of Fertility & Social Demography, International Institute for Population Sciences, Mumbai, India

DOI: https://doi.org/10.18502/jfrh.v17i4.14595

Keywords: First Birth Interval; Cox Proportional Hazards Model; Kaplan Meier Survival Curve; India

Abstract

Objective: The first-birth interval after a marriage indicates the reproduction behavior of women and influences the population's birth rates and size. The present study assesses predictors of the interval between marriage and first childbirth in India.

Materials and methods: The study employed the Cox proportional hazard model and Kaplan Meier Survival plot based on the data collected from 79,787 ever-married women in the 15-49 age group from the National Family Health Survey 2019-2021

Results: The median age of marriage to the first birth interval was 23 months in India. The older marriage cohort had longer birth intervals than the younger. The hazard ratios (HR) showed that the risk of first birth after marriage was much higher among women with higher education (HR= 2.05, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.98-2.11) than women without education. Women in urban areas (HR=1.22, 95% CI = 1.20-1.25) had a higher risk of first birth after marriage earlier than women from rural areas. Women from North-east (HR=1.14, 95%CI=1.10-1.18) and South (HR=1.15, 95%CI=1.12-1.19) had a higher risk of having their first birth earlier after marriage than women in the North region. The women who married within 18-24 years of age had a 69 percent higher likelihood of first birth interval than those women who were married below the age of 18. The risk of first birth after marriage increased as women delayed marriage up to age 25 years and more (HR=3.18, 95% CI=3.02-3.35) than others.

Conclusion: The timing of first birth was associated with the age at the first marital union, women's educational attainment, place of residence, region, economic status, exposure to mass media, contraception use, and history of pregnancy termination.