Estimating the Burden of Severe Cases of COVID-19 in Iran (North Khorasan Province) since the Beginning of the Pandemic: 2019-2021

Leili Abedi Gheshlaghi; Maryam Chegeni; Moslem Taheri Soodejani; Hossein Mirzaei; Mehdi Darabi; Omid Aboubakri; Hamid Reza Shoraka

doi:10.18502/jimc.v7i2.15049

Leili Abedi Gheshlaghi Noncommunicable Diseases Research Center, Bam University of Medical Sciences, Bam, Iran
Maryam Chegeni Department of Public Health, Khomein University of Medical Sciences, Khomein, Iran
Moslem Taheri Soodejani Center for Healthcare Data Modeling, Departments of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Shahid Sadoughi University of Medical Sciences, Yazd, Iran
Hossein Mirzaei HIV/STI Surveillance Research Center, and WHO Collaborating Center for HIV Surveillance, Institute for Futures Studies in Health, Kerman University of Medical Sciences, Kerman, Iran
Mehdi Darabi Cardiovascular Research Center, Health Institute, Kermanshah University of Medical Sciences, Kermanshah, Iran
Omid Aboubakri Environmental Health Research Center, Research Institute for Health Development, Kurdistan University of Medical Sciences, Sanandaj, Iran
Hamid Reza Shoraka Vector-Borne Diseases Research Center, North Khorasan University of Medical Sciences, North Khorasan, Iran

DOI: https://doi.org/10.18502/jimc.v7i2.15049

Keywords: Adjusted life years, COVID-19, Disability, Mortality, Pandemics, Premature, Prevalence

Abstract

Background: The death and fear of the COVID-19 pandemic has been a major concern in all countries. Estimating the burden of the disease is one of the indicators that estimates the severity of the damage caused by the disease. This study was performed to estimate the burden of years of life lost due to COVID-19 infection and premature death in North Khorasan.
Methods: In this study, all cases of definitive infection (PCR test positive) with COVID-19 from the beginning of the epidemic to April 2021 were included in the study. Disability-Adjusted Life -Years index (DALYs) was used to estimate the burden of the disease.
Results: Since the beginning of the epidemic, 63697 definite cases of the disease have been identified (prevalence equal to 7%) and the total number of years of life lost due to disability and premature death was estimated at 24769 years. This number represents 28.7 years per 100,000 populations, which in women and men, this number was equal to 26.6 and 30.8, respectively.
Conclusion: According to the results of the study, COVID-19 has caused significant loss of years of life, which due to age and concomitant diseases, deaths are more common in the elderly.