Economic Evaluation of Sacubitril/Valsartan in Chronic Heart Failure Patients: A Markov Model Analysis in Iran

  • Mahmood Yousefi Department of Health Economics, School of Management and Medical Informatics, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Tabriz, Iran.
  • Fatemeh Keshvari-Shad Sina (Farshchian) Hospital, Hamadan University of Medical Sciences, Hamadan, Iran.
  • Farhad Khalili Social Determinants of Health Research Center, Trauma Institute, Guilan University of Medical Sciences, Rasht, Iran.
  • Jebraeil Farzi Department of Health Information Technology, School of Allied Medical Sciences, Zabol University of Medical Sciences, Zabol, Iran.
  • Baharak Aghapour Department of Community Nutrition, School of Nutrition and Food Sciences, Student Research Committee, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Tabriz, Iran
  • Maryam Chenaghlou Cardiovascular Research Center, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Tabriz, Iran.
Keywords: Cost-utility analysis, Markov model, Heart failure with reduced ejection fraction, Sacubitril/valsartan

Abstract

Background: Sacubitril/valsartan (Sac-Val) is recommended for patients with heart failure (HF) and reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). This study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of Sac/Val in chronic HF patients in Iran.

Methods: A Markov model was constructed to assess the cost-effectiveness of Sac/Val and enalapril from a healthcare perspective over a 15-year time horizon. The primary outcome was the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER), expressed as cost per quality-adjusted life year (QALY). A discount rate of 3.5% was applied to both costs and outcomes, and a probabilistic sensitivity analysis was performed to evaluate the robustness of the results.

Results: The average costs of treating HF patients with Sac/Val and enalapril were 22,132,050,140 IRR (USD 77,442.3) and 143,043,859 IRR (USD 500.52), respectively, whereas the corresponding QALY values were 5.37 and 3.30, respectively. Sac/Val was more expensive and more effective than enalapril. The ICER was 10,635,189,214 IRR per QALY (37.06 USD/QALY), which was higher than the WHO- recommended threshold in terms of gross domestic product per capita in 2022. Sac/Val had a significant impact on increasing the QALY for HFrEF patients. At the proposed price, the cost per QALY value for Sac/Val exceeded the recommended threshold for the country.

Conclusion: Considering the country’s economic context, negotiating lower prices for Sac/Val would bring it to the top of the priority list for health services.

Published
2025-12-30
Section
Articles